Thursday, October 8, 2020

Why Are You So Panicked Despite the Polls?

You can be forgiven, given the 2016 results. And it is, and will remain, true that Trump could still win this election, despite the impressive hole he's dug for himself.

But perhaps it's worth interrogating this feeling a bit more. The excellent Republican pollster, Kristen Soltis Anderson, has a good explanation (h/t Charlie Sykes at The Bulwark).
“In 2016, emotion infiltrated analysis. Polling had the race as a 3-4 point race nationally, but emotionally a lot of people could not shake the feeling there was no way America would elect Trump and discounted chance it could happen.
In 2020, emotion is infiltrating analysis in the other direction. The polling is clearer and more consistent, with Biden up by 8 in the averages. But emotionally, a lot of people remember the feeling of shock in 2016 and don't want to repeat it. “
Sounds about right to me.

5 comments:

  1. And this is why every Democrat will vote this year. Twice if possible, to make sure.

    It's going to upset the polling models which must predict who is a "likely voter", I predict.

    ReplyDelete
  2. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Need The To Hire A Hacker❓ Then contact PYTHONAX✅

    The really amazing deal about contacting PYTHONAX is that the Hack done by us can’t get traced to you, as every Hacking job we do is strongly protected by our Firewall. It’s like saying if anyone tries to trace the Hack, it will lead them to us and we block whatever actions they are doing.

    We have been Invisible to Authorities for almost a decade now and if you google PYTHONAX, not really about us comes out, you can only see comments made by us or about us.

    Another Amazing thing to you benefit from Hiring our Hackers is that you get a Legit and the best Hacking service, As we provide you with Professional Hackers who have their Hacking Areas of specialization.
    We perform every Hack there is, using special Hacking tools we get from the dark web.

    Some list of Hacking Services we provide are-:
    ▪️Phone Hacking & Cloning ✅
    ▪️Computer Hacking ✅
    ▪️Emails & Social Media Account Hacking✅
    ▪️Recovering Deleted Files✅
    ▪️Tracking & Finding People ✅
    ▪️Hunting Down Scammers✅
    ▪️Hack detecting ✅
    ▪️Stealing/Copying Files & Documents From Restricted Networks and Servers ✅
    ▪️Bitcoin Multiplication✅
    ▪️Binary Option Money Recovery ✅
    ▪️Forex Trading Money Recovery✅
    ▪️IQ Option Money Recovery✅
    And lots more......


    Whatever Hacking service you require, just give us an Email to the Emails Address provided below.
    pythonaxhacks@gmail.com
    pythonaxservices@gmail.com

    PYTHONAX.
    2020 © All Right Reserved.

    ReplyDelete
  4. I am here to give testimony on how this powerful spell caster called Dr. padman helped me to fix my relationship. I was heartbroken when my Lover told me he is no longer interested in marrying me because another lady has used a black magic on him. I cried and sobbed every day, until it got so bad that I reached out to the Internet for help, that was when i read a review about the great work of Dr. padman then contacted him for help to get my love and my life back, he helped me cast a powerful love spell and to my greatest surprise after 24 hours of doing the love spell my lover came back on his knees begging me to forgive him We are now happily married and all thanks goes to Dr. Padman Wonders for helping me save my relationship you can contact Dr padman via Email padmanlovespell@yahoo.com or info@padmanspell.com Website: https://padmanspell.com/index-3.html or WhatsApp +19492293867

    ReplyDelete