The arc of the moral universe is long, but it bends toward justice
Friday, October 30, 2020
So, How Will Latinos Vote in Florida?
Who knows? This is a very, very hard population to poll accurately, particularly in Florida where the variety of Hispanics with widely differing political orientations (Puerto Rican, Cuban-American, etc) presents serious sampling challenges.
Taking Clinton's + 15 over Trump in 2016 among Florida Hispanics as a baseline (States of Change data), here's what we have for Biden margins among this group in the last three high quality polls in the state:
So Biden is either doing terribly, OK or great among Florida Latinos. Glad we could clear that up.