Wednesday, October 7, 2020

Swing State Comparison: Pennsylvania 2020 vs. 2016

Quinnipiac has a new PA poll out 54--41 Biden,, bringing the 538 Biden lead in the state to around 7 points. The Q-poll has Biden's white noncollege deficit in the state at -8. How does that compare with 2016 data?
2016 PA white noncollege data:
2016 election: -32 Clinton (State of Change)
2016 cycle early October: -21 (Quinnipiac)
The data continue to accumulate. The Biden coalition not only seems broad and deep, it probably is broad and deep. That's a great opportunity for the Democrats if they win the election.
QU Poll Release Detail
QU Poll Release Detail
Biden Widens Lead Over Trump In Florida & Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Slight Leads For Democrats In Iowa Presidential & Senate Races

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