Monday, October 12, 2020

It's a Partisan Differential Nonresponse Thing, You Wouldn't Understand

The Economist notes that the race for the White House could be a little closer than it looks. Plausible. The reason is differential partisan nonresponse as the article notes. But fear not, the Economist's model takes that possibility into account producing "only" a 9 point lead for Biden and still giving Trump only a 1 in 10 chance of winning the election.
Image may contain: 1 person, text that says 'The Economist today The best of our journalism, handpicked each eachday day 라 PESIDENT UNT Presidential polling The race for the White House is a little closer than it looks After weeks of bad news, Donald Trump's supporters may temporarily be declining pollsters' calls'


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