Tuesday, September 22, 2020

Another Good Senate Forecast for the Democrats

Daily Kos, in association with Drew Linzer, has released their Senate forecast, which they will be updating through the election. Currently, the 538 forecast gives the Democrats a 60 percent chance of taking the Senate. The Daily Kos forecast is in the same ballpark. The most interesting chart in their forecast is shown below, but their whole forecast writeup is worth reading.

Image may contain: text that says 'STATE DEMOCRAT D AVG. NEW HAMPSHIRE REPUBLICAN Shaheen (1) MAINE R AVG. 53 DIFF. Messner FLIP? Gideon 35 ARIZONA 51 +18 Collins (I) Kelly 49 40 COLORADO +11 D FLIP McSally (1) 41 Hickenlooper 49 MICHIGAN +8 Peters Gardner (1) DFLIP 43 47 +6 NORTH CAROLINA Cunningham James DFLIP 45 42 +5 ALASKA Tillis (1) 41 Gross +4 42 SOUTH CAROLINA D FLIP Sullivan (1) Harrison 42 GEORGIA 46 0 Ossoff Graham (I) KANSAS 46 44 0 Perdue Bollier IOWA 43 46 -2 Marshall Greenfield 45 44 MONTANA -2 Ernst (1) Bullock 48 45 -4 Daines 49'

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