Welcome to the fight! I love the idea of this Grant project. And especially this:
"[W]e take our cue from one of Gen. Grant’s early important successes during the Civil War -- the Battle of Fort Donelson in early 1862. During the battle, Gen. Grant said that, “no terms except an unconditional and immediate surrender can be accepted.”
With all due respect, we offer the same terms to President Trump today."
The 538 poll average has Biden up by 2 in the state. UCLA + Democracy Fund Nationscape survey has Biden up by 3 (pooling data since April 1). Last November, John Halpin and I wrote:
"For the Democratic candidate, even increasing Black turnout and support back to their strong levels in 2012 (they both declined significantly in 2016) would still leave them with a 4-point deficit in the state. The most efficacious change for the Democrats would be to cut Trump’s advantage with white noncollege voters, concentrating on white noncollege women, where Democrats’ deficit in 2016 was 30 points less than among men. Shaving 10 margin points off Trump’s advantage among white noncollege voters would, by itself, bring the Democratic candidate within 2 points in the state."
According to Nationscape, Trump's lead among white noncollege voters is down even more than 10 points--in fact, more than halved (down from 31 to 15 points).
There you have it.