Monday, September 24, 2018

Are White Noncollege Women Bailing Out on the GOP?

Some interesting internals in this writeup of the NBC/Wall Street Journal poll by John Harwood. The data on white noncollege women are stunning. As I've noted before, serious defection from the GOP among this group would make a severe dent in their coalition.
"Among white college graduates, a group Republicans carried by nine points in 2014 mid-term elections, Republicans now trail by 15 points. Among white women without college degrees, a group Republicans carried by 10 points in 2014, Republicans now trail by five points."
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The new NBC News-Wall Street Journal survey shows Democrats leading Republicans by 52 percent to 40 percent for control of Congress.

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