Sunday, June 7, 2020

Trump's Disappearing White Support

Biden is doing very well indeed in the polls and currently running ahead of Clinton at the same time in 2016. The reason? White voters. Two high-quality polls came out this weekend, Marist/NPR (A+ 538 pollster rating) and NBC/wall Street Journal (A- rating). Both had Biden ahead of Trump by 7 and both had Trump with minuscule leads (by recent GOP standards) among white voters: 5 points in the Marist poll and 6 points in the NBC poll. Nobody expects Trump to do well with the nonwhite electorate, but these figures among white voters are--if sustained--catastrophic for his re-election chances. He simply can't win with white support this low.

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