Tuesday, July 24, 2018

Trump Still Unpopular, GOP Still Losing Ground

Does this look to you like a President who's getting more popular? Yes, yes I know, Republican identifiers still support him and it is hard to shake their faith. But it matters a great deal that his overall approval rating continues to be very bad--in fact, historically bad--that independents don't like him and that Democrats absolutely detest him. See Matt Yglesias' recent article in Vox for more detail or my previous post on the issue.
Meanwhile, the stuff that really counts--Democratic prospects in November--continue to improve. The ongoing Trump circus is, to say the least, not helping Republican candidates. Latest relevant data: Saboto's Crystall Ball just moved 17 House races toward the Democrats. Maintain a healthy paranoia but things are actually looking pretty good.

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