Wednesday, April 1, 2020

If Trump's Approval Rating Is Going Up, Why Isn't He Doing Better Against Joe Biden?

As Trump has experienced a modest approval rating rally effect due to the coronavirus crisis, Trump's deficit against Biden in trial heats stubbornly refuses to improve. Why is this?
Yesterday I featured Nationscape data, so I'll do the same thing today, courtesy of Rob Griffin's and John Sides' analysis on the Post's Monkey Cage blog. According to their analysis, the answer to this question is rather simple: the folks who have recently moved from mild disapproval of Trump to mild approval are mostly the kind of voters who are very unlikely to actually vote for him.
"[M]ore notable is exactly who is becoming more favorably disposed toward Trump. In the Nationscape surveys, it is both Democrats and the small fraction of registered voters (11 percent) who say they are independent and do not lean toward a party. Of course, most Democrats disapprove of Trump but his current net approval rating is better than it was in December before the coronavirus first emerged.
This helps make sense of a puzzle: Why has Trump’s approval bump not helped him in his probable November matchup again former vice president Joe Biden? The Nationscape shows no clear movement toward Trump in the past few weeks.
This [pattern] makes it clear that Democrats remain firmly in Biden’s camp, even as a few more of them say that they approve of Trump. And while independents have gravitated somewhat toward Trump relative to Biden, there are simply not very many of them in the electorate as a whole. This explains why Biden’s national lead over Trump has been so stable.
In other words, Trump’s approval bump may be concentrated among voters who are unlikely to support him in November."
Sometimes puzzling political developments turn out to have simple answers.
WASHINGTONPOST.COM
The voters who increasingly approve of Trump aren’t actually the ones likely to vote for him in November.

1 comment:



  1. ☑️☑️COMPOSITE CYBER SECURITY SPECIALISTS ☑️☑️

    •• Are you Seeking for the Best Legit Professional Hackers online?
    Congratulations Your search ends right here with us. •• ⚡️⚡️

    ☑️☑️For Years Now We have Been helping companies secure there Infrastructures against malicious Attacks, however private individuals have been making use of our services to provide Optimum solutions to their cyber and Hacking related Issues, such as providing them unlimited Access to their desired informations from their Target. πŸ“², Credit Card Mishaps, Funds Recoveries And Every Other Cyber Related Issues That has to Do With HACKING.

    ☑️☑️COMPOSITE CYBER SECURITY SPECIALISTS is a vibrant squad of dedicated online hackers maintaining the highest standards and unparalleled professionalism in every aspect.
    We Are One Of The Leading Hack Teams In The United States With So Much Accolades From The Deep Web And IT Companies. ••
    ••We Offer Varieties Of LEGIT Hacking Services With the Help Of Our Root HackTools, Special HackTools and Our Technical Hacking Strategies Which Surpasses All Other Hackers.

    ☑️ Below Is A Full List Of Our Services:
    ▪️ FUNDS RECOVERY ON SCAM INVESTMENTS, BINARY OPTIONS TRADING and ALL TYPES OF SCAMS.
    ▪️ WEBSITE AND DATABASE HACKING πŸ’»
    ▪️ CREDIT REPAIR. πŸ’³
    ▪️ PHONE HACKING & CLONING (giving you πŸ“± Unnoticeable access to everything Happening on the Target’s Phone)
    ▪️ CLEARING OF CRIMINAL RECORDS ❌
    ▪️ SOCIAL MEDIA ACCOUNTS HACKING πŸ“±
    ▪️RECOVERY OF DELETED FILES πŸ“€
    ▪️LOCATION TRACKING πŸ“Œ
    ▪️BITCOIN MINING ⛏ And lot More.


    ☑️We have a team of seasoned PROFESSIONALS under various skillsets when it comes to online hacking services. Our company in fact houses a separate group of specialists who are productively focussed and established authorities in different platforms. They hail from a proven track record and have cracked even the toughest of barriers to intrude and capture all relevant data needed by our Clients. Some Of These Specialist Includes ⭐️ DAWID CZAGAN⭐️ JACK CABLE ⭐️ SEAN MELIA ⭐️ ARNE SWINNEN ⭐️And More. All you Need To do is To Write us a Mail Then We’ll Assign any of These Hackers To You Instantly.

    ☑️COMPOSITE CYBER SECURITY SPECIALISTS is available for customer care 24/7. Feel Free to Place your Requests.

    ☑️☑️CONTACT:
    ••• Email:
    composite.cybersecurity@protonmail.com

    πŸ”˜2020 © composite cybersecurity specialists
    πŸ”˜Want faster service? Contact us!
    πŸ”˜All Rights Reserved ®️

    ReplyDelete