Friday, March 20, 2020

Biden Ahead in the Battleground States

A just-released poll by Greenberg Research/Center for Voter Information has Biden ahead of Trump by 4 points in battleground states. This compares to Clinton's 1.4 point loss to Trump in the same states in 2016.
For the purposes of the poll, battleground states included: Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Wisconsin. Probably the most interesting finding from the poll is this (graphic below).
"Biden’s lead is also produced by the growing gap between white working-class women and men.Trump’s 2016 victory was produced by a working-class revolt. Trump looks poised to
continue garnering strong support from working class men, but working class women’s support for Trump has fallen sharply. Women are a majority of the white working class, and Trump won them by 27 points nationally in 2016. In the battleground, Trump will struggle to win them."

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