Some interesting election results tonight, with Democrat Danny O'Connor apparently falling just short of flipping the OH-12 House seat in the most closely-watched race. There was a big pro-Democratic swing in the district, consistent with other special elections since 2016, just not quite enough to flip the seat.
Meanwhile, beneath the surface, the playing field in a critical set of elections continues to tilt away from the Republicans. I speak here of state legislative elections, of massive importance but little watched by most political observers.
*At least half of state Senate seats in 42 states (in 15 of these states, the entire Senate is up) will be determined in November.
* Every state House seat in the overwhelming majority of states will also be determined in November.
.
These results will set the playing field for state elections in 2020 and the redistricting thereafter. It doesn't get much more important than that. Procedures in states vary but the typical setup is for the state legislature to be in charge of the actual redistricting with the governor having veto power (and note that Democrats look to make big gains in governors' races this year).
.
These results will set the playing field for state elections in 2020 and the redistricting thereafter. It doesn't get much more important than that. Procedures in states vary but the typical setup is for the state legislature to be in charge of the actual redistricting with the governor having veto power (and note that Democrats look to make big gains in governors' races this year).
Reid Wilson of The Hill reports from the National Conference of State Legislators annual conference:
"Republicans hoping to hold on to their majorities in state legislative chambers across the country are nervously eying President Trump’s anemic approval rating, concerned that a wave of voter anger could undo years of gains.
In interviews at the National Conference of State Legislators' annual meetings last week, Republican leaders from purple and red states said they were worried that their members — most of whom are little-known even inside their own districts — are most vulnerable to an electoral atmosphere that even slightly benefits Democrats.
“There is more Democratic enthusiasm than I have seen in the last few cycles. That’s a reality I can’t ignore,” said Robin Vos, the Republican Speaker of the Wisconsin Assembly. “Almost everybody has an opinion on national politics today. Even if you’re totally uninformed, you still have an opinion.”
After notching major gains in 2010 and 2014, when Republican waves cost President Obama’s party about 1,000 state legislative seats across the country, Republicans control both legislative chambers in 31 states....
Party control of a substantial number of legislative chambers sits on a razor’s edge. Republicans control legislative chambers in swing states like Arizona, Colorado, Maine, Minnesota and Wisconsin by five or fewer seats. They control chambers in Florida, Iowa, West Virginia and South Carolina by margins of five to 10 seats.
Many legislators pointed to Trump, whose approval rating stands between 41 percent and 45 percent in recent reputable polls. While they praised Trump and his accomplishments on the record, many privately said his leadership style and polarizing nature would make their reelection bids more difficult.
State senators and representatives, who raise and spend just a fraction of the money spent on U.S. House or Senate races, are uniquely vulnerable to national trends, even if they ultimately have little say over federal policy or the president’s agenda."
So keep your eye on those state legislative races. How they turn out could be just as important as the House and Senate races everybody watches. The opportunity is clearly there for big Democratic gains, provided these races are vigorously contested and not overlooked in favor of higher profile contests.
I'm fond of your sharing. I like to read articles. They are my cup of tea. They are so useful that I can use them to solve issues. Thank you so much.
ReplyDeleteappemailwithlove emailwithlovebestapp
It is a good source of information, people should know more about this site, share it with others, I would like to discuss it too, thank you for posting this post. This really helps a lot.
ReplyDeletecurrency converter box online, currency converter box free, best autoketing app
I have a fancy on your posts.They are my cup of tea. I want to read more articles.The information is essential for me. I want to thank you for sharing.
ReplyDeleteplay Battle for the Galaxy Play Break The Cup free game Toon Cup 2017
Hi! Thanks for the great information you have provided!I am trustworthy identical best work from you when you need it at the same time
ReplyDeleteRide The Bus Simulator best ride game Mommy Elsa Baby Caring play for free Tomb Runner play game for free
Good post, it is well worth letting people take the time to track it.
ReplyDeleteStickman Warriors games to play, Cooking Christmas Traditional Food unblocked, Wheelie Challenge games for school kids
I would love to keep track of your posts, it is really a useful source of information, wish you success.
ReplyDeletefriv jogos gratis, kizi 2 unblocked, pbs math kids games
ReplyDeleteplay food games
basketball free game
soccer games online
would love to keep track of your posts, it is really a useful source of information, wish you success.
What a blog post!! Very informative and also easy to understand. Looking for more such comments!! Do you have a facebook? I recommended it on digg. The only thing that it’s missing is a bit of new design. jogo io online
ReplyDeletefree online friv Games
play 2 player games
Amazing blog.Really thank you! Cool.Fantastic post.Much thanks again. Cool.I really appreciate this blog.Thanks Again. Hold writing.Wow, great article. Fantastic.This is one awesome website article.Much thanks again
ReplyDeleteminiclip
a10 game play,
Jogos online
Keep your eye on the sprouting wheatgrass, which should start sprouting within a few days. Once little sprouts start to appear, like below, remove the cover. You should not need to water at any point during this time. If you do, your wheatgrass may be in too much direct light/heat. Also don't over water, because the wheat berries will mold.
ReplyDeletefree game 2019
jogos friv online
jogos 360
Super easy, super healthy. You can either juice wheatgrass by itself as a shot, which is typical, in which case you will want a tray per shot per day you plan to consume. I would say roughly 1 tray = 1 shot.
ReplyDeletekizi land
jogo io online
free online friv Games