The latest by John Halpin on The Liberal Patriot is perhaps particularly worth paying attention to in light of Youngkin's probable defeat of McAuliffe in Virginia. Halpin was involved in a major multinational study of challenges facing the center-left. Here are some of the findings:
"To craft effective political strategies that can attract voters and win elections, social democratic, labor, and liberal parties must first understand voters’ hopes and dreams for themselves—as well as their fears and anxieties about the future. Comprehensive new polling conducted in 20 countries on 4 continents with 22,000 total respondents, designed by Global Progress and YouGov ahead of the G20 summit in Rome, provides a wealth of important data about these hopes and fears and explores how voters view an array of cultural, economic, and political challenges in their respective countries....
The biggest takeaway for center-left party strategists and leaders? Voters worldwide are deeply pessimistic about the future and seriously distrust politicians. This pessimism cannot be ignored. But voters are open to values-based, pragmatic, and patriotic agendas that are carried out well and centered on enhancing the quality of life for all people....
Voters globally are particularly concerned about quality of life, crime, and housing issues over the next ten years. Diving into more specific issue areas, the survey asked respondents in all 20 countries to indicate whether they think things will get better or worse in the next ten years on a range of social and economic issues....
[M]ore than half of people across all 20 countries feel that “crime” and “economic inequality” will get worse in the next 10 years, with more than 4 in 10 feeling similarly about “housing”, “economic prosperity”, and the “quality of life”.....
[M]ost people in most countries still occupy the ideological center—not the left or the right. Looking at ideological self-identification across all 20 countries, the survey finds more than 40 percent of people in aggregate placing themselves in the center on both cultural and economic issues, with less than one fifth placing themselves on either the left or right on both fronts, respectively.
It remains a basic reality in politics, borne out across multiple national contexts in this survey, that leaders who capture the center are more likely to prosper than those who do not."
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