tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7703256856614912331.post1772514023573530806..comments2018-03-03T11:54:13.691-08:00Comments on The Optimistic Leftist: What Do the Exit Polls Really Tell Us about Virginia?Ruy Teixeirahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01730678652361968608noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7703256856614912331.post-33679288553709504522017-11-12T17:10:42.021-08:002017-11-12T17:10:42.021-08:00Leo, the problem I alluded to is chronic with the ...Leo, the problem I alluded to is chronic with the exit polls. See the Appendix to our latest report, Voter Trends in 2016 (https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/democracy/reports/2017/11/01/441926/voter-trends-in-2016/) for a full explanation of why this is so and how we corrected the problem. And yes the same problem likely affected VA 2017 exit polls as well; my estimates for 2017 are a guess based on adjusting the 2017 exit poll results for the typical bias patterns shown historically by exit polls.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7703256856614912331.post-78201951288219231642017-11-12T15:44:09.307-08:002017-11-12T15:44:09.307-08:00Why were the 2016 exit polls off? Wouldn’t that be...Why were the 2016 exit polls off? Wouldn’t that be important for estimating discrepancies in 2017?Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01784866518186243240noreply@blogger.com